Tories are increasingly bullish about their prospects of regaining power in 2030 after Keir Starmer’s chaotic start.
Nearly one in four party members believe the next election will see them win a majority, according to a survey by ConservativeHome.
Another 11 per cent view a minority Tory administration as the most likely outcome, while 18 per cent predict they will be part of a coalition.
Just 14 per cent of the grassroots site’s panel expect to see Labour stay in control of the country.
The result marks a dramatic turnaround from the aftermath of the election rout in July.
At that point 41 per cent were anticipating another term of Labour, with just 17 per cent hopeful of a Tory win.
Even Labour MPs admit that Sir Keir has not enjoyed an ideal start to his time in office. There is continuing anger about the decision to strip winter fuel allowance from millions of pensioners.
The Budget was also heavily criticised for imposing one of the biggest tax raids in history, even though Sir Keir dismissed the need for such a hike during the election campaign.
Meanwhile, the PM and other senior Labour figures have been embroiled in rows about using donations for clothes, as well as taking freebie tickets to Taylor Swift concerts and football matches.
The closely-watched ConHome survey is of a regular panel of activists as the membership is very difficult to poll.
But the signs of optimism come after polls showed evidence of a ‘Kemi Badenoch bounce’.
Research by More in Common earlier this month found the party was up three points since November 1 – the day before the leadership result was announced – on 29 per cent support.
That meant the Conservatives had leapfrogged Labour, down one on 27 per cent.
The Lib Dems had dipped three points to 11 per cent, and Reform UK was up one on 19 per cent backing.