Wed. Nov 6th, 2024
alert-–-presidential-polls-2024-latest:-trump-seizes-lead-from-kamala-in-polling-guru’s-election-forecastAlert – Presidential polls 2024 latest: Trump seizes lead from Kamala in polling guru’s election forecast

Donald Trump has moved ahead of Kamala Harris in a key forecasting model that predicts who will win the White House.

It is the first time in a month that Trump has led in top pollster Nate Silver’s widely followed model. 

Meanwhile, Trump blasted Harris’ performance during her first sitdown interview with Fox News’ Bret Baier.

Follow all the developments with DailyMail.com’s live blog

22:01

Trump ahead for first time in a month in key election prediction model

Donald Trump has taken the lead over Kamala Harris in the widely watched prediction model from pollster Nate Silver.

Trump now has a 50.2 percent chance of winning the White House and Harris a 49.5 percent chance, according to the model.

It is the first time Trump had led in Silver’s model since September 19.

Silver said:

There’s a good chance the lead will continue to shift back and forth akin to a 110-109 basketball game late in the fourth quarter.

DORAL, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 16: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a Univision Noticias town hall event on October 16, 2024 in Doral, Florida. Trump addressed undecided Latino voters as he continues campaigning against his rival, Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images) *** BESTPIX ***

12:28

Trump jumps up four points in race against Kamala with 19 days to go as Democrats worry

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

The presidential race was turned on its head this week after polling revealed Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead over Donald Trump disappearing.

And now, the latest survey from Fox News now shows Trump pulling ahead of the VP by a 2 percentage point margin.

Conducted October 11 and 14 among 1,110 registered voters, Trump is leading Harris 50 percent to 48 percent, which is a 4-point improvement from when the VP was ahead by 2 percent last month.

Harris, however, maintains a 6-point lead among voters from the seven key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Most national polling this week has shown Harris’ lead either diminishing or completely disappearing since her boost after the debate with Trump in September.

Most results reveal a gap that falls within the respective polling’s margin of error.

And now Democratic strategists are reportedly worried behind the scenes.

One expert told the Hill: ‘This is not where we want to be with less than three weeks to go. This is terrifying.’

Another added that the fact Harris is not on an ‘upward trajectory’ is ‘troublesome to say the least.’

DORAL, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 16: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures during a Univision Noticias town hall event on October 16, 2024 in Doral, Florida. Trump addressed undecided Latino voters as he continues campaigning against his rival, Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

02:03

Donald Trump jokes about Doug Emhoff's past affair

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during the 79th Annual Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner at the Hilton Midtown in New York, October 17, 2024. (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP) (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images)

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Donald Trump joked about Vice President Kamala Harris’ husband Doug Emhoff’s past affairs during the Al Smith dinner Thursday.

‘A major issue in this race is childcare, and Kamala has put forward a concept of a plan… The only piece of advice I would have for her in the event she wins would be not to let husband Doug anywhere near the nannies,’ Trump said.

DailyMail.com previously reported about an incident where Emhoff had an affair with one of his nannies, leading to the end of his first marriage.

01:29

Kamala has trounced Trump on key metric, reveals Fox News in brutal blow to ex-president's pride

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Fox News’ tumultuous interview with Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris Wednesday evening received blockbuster ratings.

The highly anticipated primetime interview between host Bret Baier and Harris racked up over 7.1 million live viewers, according to the outlet.

That audience size means it was the most widely watched cable news interview of the 2024 election season, grabbing more eyes than any sit-down Donald Trump has done this year.

Trump’s Wednesday town hall in Georgia, also with Fox News, only garnered 2.9 million viewers, although the ex-president’s event was at 11am and not the much more coveted 6pm slot as Harris’ sit-down occupied.

00:53

Robert Kennedy Jr. spotted with wife Cheryl Hines after phone sex scandal with journalist

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Robert Kennedy Jr. was spotted with his wife actress Cheryl Hines at the Al Smith dinner on Thursday evening.

Just last month it was revealed that Kennedy had a phone sex affair with journalist Olivia Nuzzi.

The couple was spotted together earlier this week mourning the passing of Robert Kennedy’s mother and famed family matriarch Ethel Kennedy.

They have had few public outings together since the news of the affair broke.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 17:  Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (L) and his wife Cheryl Hines stand during the annual Alfred E. Smith Foundation Dinner at the New York Hilton Midtown on October 17, 2024 in New York City. Former U.S. President Donald Trump is scheduled to speak with comedian Jim Gaffigan as the Master of Ceremonies at the 79th Annual Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner. The dinner, a white-tie charity event that benefits Catholic charities, is known for political figures poking fun at one another. The foundation honors the late Alfred E. Smith, former governor of New York and America's first Catholic presidential nominee. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

00:38

Donald and Melania Trump arrive at Al Smith dinner in New York City

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Donald and Melania Trump have arrived at the Al Smith dinner in New York City.

The dinner is a longstanding tradition to support Catholic charities around the city and has been frequented many times by presidential candidates.

After not having been spotted alongside her husband since the Republican National Convention, Melania was seen wearing a sophisticated tuxedo-like suit next to Donald who was looking dapper in a similar tuxedo ensemble.

House Speaker Mike Johnson, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and embattled NYC Mayor Eric Adams are all in attendance.

Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump and Melania Trump attend the 79th annual Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner in New York City, U.S., October 17, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

22:53

Melania Trump expected to appear with Donald at Al Smith dinner fundraiser

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Former First Lady Melania Trump is reportedly planning to attend a fundraiser alongside her husband on Thursday night.

Sources familiar with the matter told NBC News that Melania will join her hubby at the famous Al Smith dinner in New York City on Thursday evening.

Her showing at the dinner would mark her first appearance alongside Donald at a political event since the Republican National Convention in July. Since then she has been notably absent from the campaign trail.

A source told the outlet Melania is going because ‘it’s tradition.’

They also added ‘This could be a precursor to more activity.’

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Former first lady Melania Trump arrives on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)

22:44

Where is Michelle Obama? Former First Lady goes awol as Kamala campaign sees dip in polls

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

With just weeks to go until Election Day and the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris narrowing dramatically, one of the most famous Democrats remains on the sidelines.

Former First Lady Michelle Obama has not been seen anywhere near Harris or her campaign since she made an appearance at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago nearly two months ago.

Back then, the vice president saw a gush of support after President Joe Biden canceled his reelection bid and Harris was riding high on positive polling.

But now as Harris is dipping in national surveys, Michelle Obama is nowhere to be found.

21:53

Kamala Harris slams Donald Trump's comments about January 6 being a 'day of love'

Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter in Wisconsin:

Vice President Kamala Harris held a rally in La Crosse, Wisconsin where she touted appearing on Fox News before slamming Donald Trump’s comments made during a Univision town hall about January 6.

‘I want and intend to be a president for all Americans,’ Harris said. ‘And no matter their political party, where they live or where they get their news.’

‘And on that point, last night you may have seen, I went on Fox News,’ she said with a smile.

‘And while I was doing that Donald Trump was at a Univision town hall where a voter asked him about January 6,’ she said as the crowd booed.

‘We here know January 6th was a tragic day. It was a day of terrible violence. There were attacks on law enforcement. 140 law enforcement officers were injured, some were killed, and what did Donald Trump say last night about January 6th? He called it a “a day of love,”‘ Harris said.

The vice president said it points out something people there already know.

‘The Americans are exhausted with his gaslighting,’ Harris said. ‘Enough!’

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign rally at the University of Wisconsin La Crosse, in La Crosse, Wis., Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

20:55

Biden lands in Germany and says 'now is the time to move on' after the killing of Sinwar

US President Joe Biden arrives to speak to the press upon arrival at Berlin-Brandenburg Airport (BER) in Schoenefeld, southeast of the German capital, late on October 17, 2024. US President Joe Biden began a farewell visit to Germany on October 17 for talks with European leaders on support for Ukraine in its war against Russia and on the Middle East conflict. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP) (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images)

President Joe Biden touched down in Germany late Thursday local time for his whirlwind visit, and issued his first spoken comments about how to ‘move on’ after the killing of Yahya Sinwar.

‘I called BiBi Netanyahu to congratulate him ok getting Sinwar. He had a lot of blood in his hands, American blood, Israeli blood and others,’ Biden said.

‘Further that now is the time to move on. Move on, move toward to a ceasefire in Gaza, make sure that we move in a direction that we’re going to be in a position to make things better for the whole world. It’s time for this war to end and bring these hostages home,’ Biden said.

He said he was sending Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Israel in four or five days to discuss ‘how do we secure Gaza and move on.’

He said he feels ‘hopeful’ about a cease fire. His printed statement called Sinwar ‘the mastermind of the October 7th massacres, rapes, and kidnappings.’

20:49

Speculation swirls about mystery Polymarket trader betting big on a Trump victory

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Several mysterious millionaires have wagered huge gambits on online prediction markets in favor of Donald Trump in the past hours, triggering wild speculation about who is behind the massive cash dump.

Political prediction platforms have become all the rage in the 2024 campaign cycle and are closely followed by campaigns as a way to monitor candidate support.

Over the course of the campaign cycle Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have swung in popularity as options, and many have taken to checking their odds as a sort of poll.

Polymarket, one of the most popular of these election prediction sites, allows users to wager on whether they believe Trump or Harris will win the U.S. presidential election.

But in the past 48 hours the crypto-powered network has had some unidentifiable high rollers throwing millions behind Trump, potentially swaying the results and raising questions as to who is behind it.

20:41

Donald Trump visits Bronx barbershop

Former President Donald Trump visited Javiel’s Barbershop in the Bronx on Thursday afternoon.

He did not get his famous locks trimmed or even pretend to get a shave. But his property developer instincts kicked in as he entered. ‘Nice soft floor,’ he said as he entered. ‘What’s that all about.’

He was greeted by customers and staff, who wore ‘make barbers great again,’ t-shirts, and talked about his plans for a second term.

20:25

Scathing new Secret Service report on Donald Trump assassination attempt warns a shooting 'will happen again'

An independent report on the first assassination attempt against Donald Trump concludes it’s likely another incident will happen if there is not a complete overhaul of the U.S. Secret Service.

The four-person panel released a scathing 52-page report Thursday claiming there is a ‘loss of public confidence’ in the group tasked with protecting all current and former presidents as well as major party presidential candidates.

Without massive reform, the report claims, there will be more incidents like the one at the Butler, Pennsylvania rally on July 13.

20:23

Record 7.1 million viewers tuned in for Kamala Harris' Fox News interview

Some 7.1 million viewers tuned in to see Fox News’ Special Report host Bret Baier interview Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday evening.

That’s according to Fox News, which shared that the viewership was the highest rated interview of the political season.

The interview was Harris’ first sit-down ever with the conservative network.

During the nearly 30 minute testy interview, Harris and Baier sparred over immigration, Donald Trupm and more, often speaking over each other and the vice president asking Baier to stop interrupting her.

The Fox News interview topped viewership for Harris’ 60 Minutes interview, her first sit-down as the nominee with CNN and an appearance on liberal MSNBC, Fox News said.

Bret Baier Kamala Harris FOX Interview

18:29

Donald Trump's legal team tries to delay document release until after Election Day

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Donald Trump’s team is working to delay additional evidence from his 2020 election interference case from coming out before Election Day.

Writing in a court filing Trump’s attorneys requested that United States District Court Judge Tanya Chutkan delay the release of the documents, arguing that Kamala Harris’ campaign has used evidence from the case in attack ads.

‘The incumbent Vice President — whose administration the Special Counsel serves — also began featuring the Special Counsel’s brief in political s for the 2024 Presidential Election,’ Trump’s legal team wrote to the judge.

‘Thus, without any semblance of due process — including President Trump’s right to cross-examine witnesses and call his own witnesses in a court proceeding — the public has been poisoned by a one-sided prosecutorial narrative that is being used for political purposes by the incumbent administration.’

The team asked that the documents be delayed until November 14, well after the November 5 election.

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks at the National Guard Association of the United States' 146th General Conference, Monday, Aug. 26, 2024, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

18:21

Biden says death of Sinwar marks a 'good day for Israel and the US' but adds it is time to end the war in Gaza

epa11664371 US President Joe Biden leaves the White House to board Marine One, Washington, DC, USA, 17 October 2024. President Biden is due to visit Germany to attend an Order of Merit Ceremony and meet with the German Chancellor.  EPA/WILL OLIVER

President Joe Biden welcomed the death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar Thursday, calling it ‘a good day for Israel, for the United States, and for the world.’

In a statement he said he would soon be talking to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but he also made clear that Israel had achieved its goal of ensuring Hamas was no longer a threat.

Now was the time to move to a political settlement, he said.

I will be speaking soon with Prime Minister Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders to congratulate them, to discuss the pathway for bringing the hostages home to their families, and for ending this war once and for all, which has caused so much devastation to innocent people. There is now the opportunity for a “day after” in Gaza without Hamas in power, and for a political settlement that provides a better future for Israelis and Palestinians alike. Yahya Sinwar was an insurmountable obstacle to achieving all of those goals. That obstacle no longer exists. But much work remains before us.

18:17

Kamala Harris responds to the death of Hamas' leader

Democratic presidential candidate US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks about the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar during a statement to the press at the University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on October 17, 2024. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)

Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter in Wisconsin:

Vice President Kamala Harris gave a statement on the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.

The vice president said with his death ‘justice has been served.’

‘The United States, Israel and the entire world are better off as a result,’ Harris said. ‘Sinwar was responsible for the killing of thousands of innocent people including the victims of October 7th and hostages killed in Gaza. He had American blood on his hands.’

Harris commended American Special Operations who worked closely with Israeli counterparts over the past year to track him.

‘I will say to any terrorist who kills Americans, threatens the American people, or threatens our troops or our interests: know this, we will always bring you to justice,’ Harris said.

The vice president said Israel has a right to defend itself and the threat of Hamas needs to be eliminated.

She also said the moment gives them an opportunity to end the war in Gaza with Israel secure, the hostages released and the end of the suffering in Gaza.

‘The Palestinian people can realize their right to dignity, security, freedom and self determination. And it is time for the day after to begin without Hamas in power,’ she said.

Harris delivered her remarks from a podium following a campaign stop in Milwaukee.

Before her campaign stop at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, the vice president’s motorcade was greeted by a group of pro-Palestinian protesters.

Harris did not answer reporter questions shouted at her after giving her response.

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks about the killing of Hamas' top leader Yahya Sinwar in a battle with Israeli forces in Gaza, Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024, following a campaign rally at the University of Wisconsin Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

Pro-Palestinian activists demonstrate before Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris arrives at a campaign event at the business school of the University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

18:01

Trump again demands that CBS be taken off air and says Harris should be removed from the Democratic ticket in favor of Biden

Donald Trump is venting his fury toward CBS again. He used his Truth Social platform to highlight a report on Fox News about a complaint made to the Federal Communications Commission about Kamala Harris’ appearance on 60 Minutes.

Conservatives are furious that a lengthy ‘word salad’ answer to a question about Israel that appeared in a promotional trailer appeared as a tighter, more focused response when the whole show was broadcast.

Trump demanded again that CBS be taken off air, but also demanded that Harris be investigated and Biden be restored to the Democratic ticket.

Kamala should be investigated and forced off the Campaign, and Joe Biden allowed to take back his rightful place (He got 14 Million Primary Votes, she got none!). THIS WHOLE SORDID AND FRAUDULENT EVENT IS A THREAT TO DEMOCRACY!

17:27

New poll gives Trump an edge in Wisconsin

A new general election poll shows Donald Trump ahead by one point in Wisconsin, putting the race in the swing state in a dead heat.

The poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen for Napolitan News puts Trump at 50 percent and Harris at 49 percent.

It comes as Harris is criss-crossing the state on Thursday.

The poll has Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin at 50 percent and Republican challenger Eric Hovde at 47 percent in the state.

17:24

Lawmakers praise killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar

Top lawmakers praised Israel for taking out the Hamas mastermind of the October 7, 2023 attack.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said:

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar orchestrated the barbaric terrorist attack perpetrated against Israel on October 7, 2023, resulting in the largest loss of Jewish life in a single day since the Holocaust.

As a result of the diabolical actions of Sinwar and Hamas, 1,200 people, including 46 Americans, were murdered and more than 250 people were taken hostage.  Today, the State of Israel, the Middle East and the free world is a safer place with the death of Yahya Sinwar. Terror will never win.

Top Senate Republicans also weighed in, calling his death a ‘mighty blow to Hamas and Iran.’

17:12

Pro-Palestinian protester arrested outside barbershop where Trump is campaigning in The Bronx

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

A pro-Palestinian protester was arrested outside a barber shop in The Bronx where Donald Trump was campaigning on Thursday.

The man was riding a bike while wielding a Palestinian flag to show his support for the people caught in the crosshairs of war between Israel and Hamas terrorists – the de facto government in Gaza.

The man rode straight through the barricades around Trump’s campaign stop on Thursday, yelling ‘Free Palestine!’

Police arrested him while he attempted to burn Israeli Defense Force flag across the street from where Trump is stopping for a haircut.

16:57

Trump breaks silence on son Barron's college dating life as Melania's special nickname for him is revealed

Donald Trump divulged a rare bit of very personal information about his son Barron after a podcaster inquired about his son’s dating life.

Trump, who routinely recites just a few anodyne facts when asked about his 18-year-old son with former first lady Melania Trump, fielded the question in an appearance on the PBD podcast with interviewer Patrick Bet-David.

‘Is he good with the ladies in school at NYU? Is he there yet?’ asked the interviewer.

Rather than dodge it, Trump gave a direct answer.

‘No, I’m not sure he’s – I don’t think he’s had a girlfriend yet,’ Trump revealed. ‘I don’t think so. Every once in a while …’ he said, before ending the thought in rapid-fire conversation.

16:56

MAGA fans loving gold Trump sneakers swag

MAGA fans are going crazy on social media for new gold ‘Trump sneakers.’

You can preorder them for $499 in order to get them in time for Christmas, the site reads.

16:27

Trump reportedly pulls out of NBC interview

Donald Trump reportedly pulled out of an NBC News interview scheduled for Monday.

The interview was due to happen in Philadelphia and focused mainly on the economy.

CNN reported the interview had been called off for Monday but could still happen.

Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump participates in a town hall presented by Spanish-language network Univision, in Doral, Florida, U.S., October 16, 2024. REUTERS/Marco Bello

16:22

CNN's Kaitlan Collins takes wild shot at Fox over Trump's 'enemies within' claim during Kamala's fiery Bret Baier interview

CNN’s Kaitlan Collins wasn’t happy with how Fox News handled its interview with Kamala Harris.

The anchor specifically called out Fox’s Bret Baier for not playing Donald Trump’s original ‘enemy within’ comments when asking the vice president to respond to his reaction to her criticism of his remarks.

Baier’s under 30-minute interview with Harris on Wednesday was extremely contentious.

He complained that the VP showed up for their pre-taped sit-down in Pennsylvania 15 minutes late and her team tried to cut it short.

Collins took particular issue with how her broadcast news colleague presented Trump’s claims that the ‘enemy within’ the U.S. is more dangerous to him than external and foreign threats.

16:09

Trump doubles down on attacking Kamala's race as he reveals why he thinks black men don't like her

Donald Trump revisited his criticisms of Kamala Harris’s racial identity in a new podcast interview.

Last month, Trump was widely denounced after claiming he was unaware of Harris’ true racial heritage and suggesting that she ‘turned black.’

‘I didn’t know she was black,’ he said before the National Association of Black Journalists in Chicago.

‘She was always of Indian heritage, and she was only promoting Indian heritage… until a number of years ago, when she happened to turn black, and now she wants to be known as black,’ Trump said.

He doubled down on those comments in podcast interview with entrepreneur Patrick Bet-David that aired Thursday, taking it further to suggest it as a reason black males might be turned off by her.

16:02

Kamala Harris may appear via video to the Al Smith Dinner

The Al Smith Foundation’s vice chair of the board of directors Mary Erdoes, says in an email that Kamala Harris ‘will be joining us on screen, likely via video’ at the charity dinner in New York City, according to a report from Daily Caller.

Former President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the charity dinner on Thursday evening while the Harris campaign previously said she was unable to attend.

At the time, Harris’ decision not to attend prompted a wry comment from New York City Cardinal Dolan.

‘This hasn’t happened in 40 years, since Walter Mondale turned down the invitation. And remember, he lost 49 out of 50 states,’ he said.

15:20

Trump leads Harris by one point in Michigan in two-way race

A new poll out of battleground Michigan shows former President Donald Trump up one point over Vice President Kamala Harris in a two-way race – 48 percent to 47 percent.

The survey shows Trump and Harris tied at 47 percent each when third-party contenders including Green Party hopeful Jill Stein and Libertarian Chase Oliver are factored in.

The survey, conducted by Michigan News Source and Mitchell Research and Communications, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.

15:05

Exclusive:How Project 2025 could doom Donald Trump with a key voter group in the battleground state of Pennsylvania

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania

On Sunday the Democratic Party flew a banner over the Philadelphia Eagles football game reading: ‘Go Birds! Sack Project 2025! Vote Kamala.’

Donald Trump may have tried to distance himself from Project 2025, a hardline conservative manifesto setting out a program for government written by his allies, but our new poll reveals just how damaging it could be for him in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania .

When independent voters were asked to describe in a word their main hesitation in voting for the former president, their number-one answer was: 2025.

The results are particularly striking when they are set out in a word cloud.

The terms ‘2025,’ ‘plan,’ and ‘people,’ dominate the graphic.

15:00

Trump takes massive lead in online betting markets

Trump’s rise comes after Kamala Harris’ interview on Fox News’ Bret Baier show ‘Special Report’.

And it’s the new high for the ex-president on the site since President Joe Biden spectacularly dropped out of the race in July.

The new surge occurred after Harris’ testy interview on Fox where she sparred with Baier over immigration and more.

She is ramping up her media blitz in recent weeks with only 19 days left to the election.

14:09

J.D. Vance finally gives answer on whether he believes Donald Trump won or lost the 2020 election

J.D. Vance addressed the issue of whether Trump won the 2020 election when pressed by a reporter in Williamsport, North Carolina.

Did Donald Trump lose the election? Not by the words that I would use.

But look, I really couldn’t care less if you agree with me or disagree with me on this issue.

Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, speaks at a campaign rally at Wilmington International Airport, Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2024, in Wilmington, N.C. (AP Photo/Chris Seward)

13:49

Trump gives Kamala Harris scathing assessment after her first Fox News interview

Donald Trump tore into his political rival Kamala Harris’ performance during her first Fox News interview.

The high-drama sitdown spanned nearly 30 minutes as Baier and the VP sparred over the administration’s immigration policies, sex changes for inmates and other hot topics.

Baier tried to press Harris on a number of key issues but the vice president protested that he needed to let her finish her answers to the questions.

Meanwhile she tore into Donald Trump for being totally ‘unfit to serve’ as president for a second term because he’s ‘dangerous.’

Trump congratulated Fox News host Bret Baier for his ‘tough but very fair interview’ before ripping into Harris’ hit.

He wrote on X and his social media site Truth Social: ‘Great job by Bret Baier in his Interview with Lyin’ Kamala Harris. She has a massive and irredeemable case of TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME.’

13:47

Kamala Harris criss-crosses Wisconsin as the race there tightens

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris wawes as she stepped off Air Force Two upon arrival at Milwaukee Mitchell International Airport in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on October 16, 2024. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)

Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter:

Vice President Kamala Harris is criss-crossing Wisconsin Thursday with a series of campaign events as she works to reach voters all across the state with less than 20 days to go before Election Day.

The Democratic presidential nominee is holding events in Milwaukee, La Crosse and Green Bay as Wisconsin is part of Democrats’ so-called ‘blue wall’ and is seen as crucial on their path to the White House.

To date, the campaign has knocked on more than one million doors across the state since Harris launched her campaign. They have more than 250 staff on the ground at more than 50 campaign offices across the state.

The race there is expected to all come down to turnout. The latest polls show Harris and Donald Trump dead heat in the state with Harris holding a 0.3 lead in the average of polls.

Harris is starting her day in Milwaukee after flying into the state from Pennsylvania Wednesday night. There, she will stop by a business class at University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee speak with students and promote her plans to supports entrepreneurship and small business growth, according to the campaign.

From there, Harris heads to La Crosse where she will hold a rally at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse. The vice president will be introduced by Cisco Garcia, a UW-La Crosse student.

The Vice President will finish her whirlwind trip to the state with a rally in Green Bay with state leaders.

Wisconsin early in-person voting kicks off in less than a week on October 22.

13:28

Betting odds spectacularly reveal Kamala Harris is trailing Trump in nearly every swing state

According to the betting site Polymarket, Trump is leading Harris in all seven swing states.

  • Arizona: 68 percent
  • North Carolina: 63 percent
  • Georgia: 65 percent
  • Pennsylvania: 59 percent
  • Michigan and Wisconsin: 56 percent

According to the site, Nevada is the only battleground state where the candidates are in a dead 50-50 heat.

12:58

Don Jr. says dad is THE Big Mac: 'Much better than Kamala' ahead of McDonald's visit

Donald Trump Jr. says his father, former President Donald Trump, ‘knows the McDonald’s menu much better than Kamala Harris ever did.’

The onetime first son made the prodding claim on ‘Jesse Watters Primetime’ on Fox News following Harris’ nightmarish interview with Brett Baier.

Speaking about inflationary prices, he said: ‘If I take my kids to McDonald’s, and Donald Trump Jr. has sticker shock at McDonald’s because it’s too expensive, that’s a problem.

‘If I’m upset when I go to McDonald’s or the grocery store, what’s a hard-working, blue-collar American family making 50, 60, $70,000 a year– how do they feel?’

‘You mentioned McDonald’s,’ replied Watters.’I know your dad’s gonna be there, Sunday working the fry machine. Did your dad watch the Fox interview with Kamala?’

Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrumpKamala said she worked at McDonalds - She never did. Lie!

‘Listen, I think my father knows the McDonald’s menu much better than Kamala Harris ever did, and yet she can’t tell us which Mc – I wish Bret would have asked which McDonald’s she worked at because, you know, she’ll just tell you whatever you wanna hear to seem relatable and likable,’ Trump Jr. said.

His dad is scheduled to visit a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania this weekend as part of an ongoing jab against Harris’ claim she worked at one in California when she was younger.

‘I’m gonna work the french fries because I will have worked longer and harder at McDonald’s than she did if I do that even for a half-hour,’ the Republican presidential nominee boasted.

12:50

Bret Baier reveals how Kamala Harris was late for Fox News interview before she cut their chat short

Fox News host Bret Baier revealed some rocky details about his interview with Kamala Harris.

The vice president showed up late for her interview with the right-leaning network, he explained after their sit-down aired on Wednesday evening.

He also said that Harris’ team tried to shorten the time allotted for their pre-taped conversation.

Speaking with a panel on his Special Report report program, Baier said:

We were supposed to start at 5:00 p.m., this was the time they gave. Originally, we were going to do 25 or 30 minutes, they came in and said ‘maybe 20.’ So it was already getting whittled down.

And then, the vice president showed up about 5:15 – we were pushing the envelope to be able to turn it around for the top of the 6 o’clock. So that’s how it started.

And I could tell when we started talking that she was going to be tough to, you know, redirect without me trying to interrupt.

12:43

Trump reveals three virtues that Kamala Harris has

During a Univision town hall with Hispanic voters, Trump was asked to name three nice qualities about Harris.

He replied that ‘she seems to have an ability to survive’ and she ‘seems to have some pretty longtime friendships.’

Lastly he added: ‘She seems to have a nice way about her.’

I mean, I like the way some of her statements, some of her – the way she behaves, in a certain way. But in another way, I think it’s very bad for our country.

DORAL, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 16: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump reacts during a Univision Noticias town hall event on October 16, 2024 in Doral, Florida. Trump addressed undecided Latino voters as he continues campaigning against his rival, Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images) *** BESTPIX ***

12:21

Trolls get instant karma for trying to derail Trump's huge Madison Square Garden rally

Social media trolls are signing up to attend Donald Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally with no intention of going, but the joke may be on them.

The ex-president’s rally in the heart of Manhattan at the legendary arena may not win him the state of New York, but it will galvanize Trump’s growing enthusiasm in the area – particularly among minority communities with whom his support has been surging recently.

Trump and his campaign hope to sell out the 19,500 seats at MSG on Sunday, October 27, but some are already threatening to derail the event.

12:13

Early in-person voting begins in North Carolina

Early voting started Thursday in North Carolina as several parts of the state are still reeling from Hurricane Helene.

The state is one of the biggest battlegrounds of 2024 as Democrats believe they can flip it blue on their path to the White House after Donald Trump won it in 2016 and 2020.

North Carolina also has an extremely contentious governors race between Democratic state Attorney General Josh Stein and embattled Republican Lt. Governor Mark Robinson whose campaign has been dealing with shocking reports of controversial past comments and actions by the candidate.

Mail-in voting in the state started last month, but in-person early voting has now begun and runs through November 2 before Election Day on November 5.

In the area hit hardest by Helene, polls will be open from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. for residents to cast their ballots.

Buncombe Board of Elections Chair Jake Quinn said:

We’ve got a new early voting plan. Please everybody, spread the word.

12:09

The moment Kamala Harris staff desperately intervened to end interview with Fox News' Bret Baier: 'It's gotta stop!'

Vice President Kamala Harris’ team frantically tried to get Fox News host Bret Baier to wrap up their interview early toward the end of the testy sit-down in Pennsylvania Wednesday.

The Democratic presidential nominee joined Baier for an interview aired on his nightly Special Report show – her first-ever interview for the conservative news network.

The pair spoke over each other numerous times as Baier grilled the 59-year-old vice president – who showed up 17 minutes late, according to the newsman – on multiple topics including immigration right out of the gate.

‘I’m talking like four people waving their hands like “it’s got to stop,”‘ Baier described to his panel about how the taped but unedited interview ended after it aired at the top of his 6 pm show.

‘I had to dismount there at the end,’ Baier shrugged.

‘There are so many things and maybe she should do more of these,’ he added.

11:22

Donald Trump says Bret Baier's interview with Kamala Harris proves she's 'totally incompetent'

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Donald Trump commended Fox News host Bret Baier for his ‘tough but very fair interview’ with Vice President Kamala Harris.

The former president’s praise came after MAGA social media users speculated ahead of the interview that the right-leaning network would favorably edit its sit-down with Harris.

Trump wrote on X and his social media site Truth Social:

Great job by Bret Baier in his Interview with Lyin’ Kamala Harris. She has a massive and irredeemable case of TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME

He added that Baier’s interview ‘clearly showed how totally incompetent Kamala is.’

11:06

Nate Silver's 538 forecast shows Harris' edge over Trump has disappeared as race becomes dead heat

The election forecast Five Thirty Eight shows that Kamala Harris has a 50 percent chance of winning the election in less than three weeks.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump is just below at 49 percent, making the race a dead heat.

In the national polling average, Harris has the slight edge by just 2.8 points.

‘We’re in pure tossup territory, and Harris’ slight lead last week has disappeared,’ writes Silver.

The latest represents a one-point improvement for former President Trump from Silver’s previous model.

FILE PHOTO: Former U.S. President Donald Trump in New York City, U.S. May 30, 2024 and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington, U.S., July 22, 2024 in a combination of file photos. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz, Nathan Howard/File Photo

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