Mon. Nov 25th, 2024
alert-–-kamala-harris-seizes-momentum-in-final-polls-after-bombshell-iowa-survey-rocks-trump-campaignAlert – Kamala Harris seizes momentum in final polls after bombshell Iowa survey rocks Trump campaign

Kamala Harris has seized momentum over Donald Trump in the final days of campaigning in what could be one of the closest presidential elections in history. 

The vice president took a break from rallies in the swing states for a surprise cameo on Saturday Night Live where she was skewered for her laugh. 

As she woke up on Sunday to prepare for a church service in Detroit and for events in critical battlegrounds, she was buoyed by indications the tide is turning in her favor.

The findings sparked a ripple effect especially in the ‘Blue Wall’ states in the Midwest that are crucial for Harris if she wants to take the keys to the White House. 

A final poll by the New York Times has Trump behind Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.

They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona. It’s a razor-thin race with just two days to go to Election Day.

Kamala Harris has seized momentum over Donald Trump in the final days of campaigning in what could be one of the closest presidential elections in history

Kamala Harris has seized momentum over Donald Trump in the final days of campaigning in what could be one of the closest presidential elections in history

The latest results follow a shock poll released Saturday night that had Trump behind Harris three points in Iowa, a solidly red state. 

The vice president is also closing the gap with Trump in the betting markets, in a sign of momentum for her in the final days of the campaign. 

The former president’s odds plummeted overnight after the results of the Des Moines Register poll were revealed.

But in the first few hours of Sunday his chances slightly improved, with still a tiny gap between him and Harris.

DailyMail.com’s polling partners J.L. Partners have also seen movement in their election model following the stunning Iowa poll.

A final poll by the New York Times has Trump behind Harris in four critical swing states : Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina and Wisconsin

A final poll by the New York Times has Trump behind Harris in four critical swing states : Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina and Wisconsin

The results have had a ripple effect through the midwest in our model, shifting Michigan from 'TOSSUP TRUMP' to 'TOSSUP HARRIS'.

Wisconsin also sees a two-point drop for Trump, but that is not enough to change it from 'TOSSUP TRUMP'.

However, the movement is small. So the overall result is that Trump remains the favorite to win the Electoral College. And when the simulation are run, he wins 62.4 percent of the time.

In his briefing note, J.L. Partners data scientist Callum Hunter writes: 'The past 24 hours have seen a series of movements against Trump in the betting markets (movements that have not been reflected in all of the models) due to the Selzer Iowa poll. 

'Despite this fact, things have not really moved in our model as there was a poll from Emerson released around the same time. Despite the accuracy score of Selzer things are balanced out by the Emerson poll AND the correlations between states which prevent the model from being dragged off in a huge way due to a single poll in one state. 

'The model is more reliant on underlying patterns in similar states rather than knee-jerk reactions to single polls. While things have stalled at the headline level, the rustbelt states are still moving towards Harris and this may continue tomorrow. I will keep you updated.'

Supporters of Republican presidential nominee and Trump attend a parade in West Palm Beach, Florida, with 48 hours until election day

Supporters of Republican presidential nominee and Trump attend a parade in West Palm Beach, Florida, with 48 hours until election day

Trump rallied in Litiz, Pennsylvania, on Sunday morning and spent minutes speaking about the bulletproof glass in front of him

Trump rallied in Litiz, Pennsylvania, on Sunday morning and spent minutes speaking about the bulletproof glass in front of him

Trump rebuked the latest Iowa polling results with a Truth Social post on Sunday saying: 'No President has done more for FARMERS, and the Great State of Iowa, than Donald J. Trump.'  

He also continued to push preemptive claims that Democrats are planning to win by 'cheating' this cycle. 

To avoid this, the former president said that the 2024 presidential election results need to be finalized the night of Election Day on November 5 by 11 p.m. at the latest.

Any flex time after that date, Trump claims, will be used by Democrats to 'cheat.'

'I don't know what's going to happen, but for future elections – I won't be even a part of it – but you ought to damn well go to paper ballots, you ought to go to voter ID and you ought to have the election over by 9 o'clock,' Trump said in Lititz, Pennsylvania. 

'I'm hearing now they're going to take weeks. Can you imagine?'

'And what do you think happens during those 12 days?' Trump questioned the crowd, to which they shouted back: 'They cheat.'

'These elections have to be – they have to be decided by 9 o'clock, 10 o'clock, 11 o'clock on Tuesday night.'

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