Tue. Apr 29th, 2025
alert-–-‘dramatic-turnaround’-as-one-major-party-now-has-a-‘clear-lead’-just-days-out-from-the-federal-electionAlert – ‘Dramatic turnaround’ as one major party now has a ‘clear lead’ just days out from the federal election

Anthony Albanese has established a strong lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister in the final poll before Saturday’s election.

The Prime Minister now has a 47-31 lead over the Coalition leader, according to the latest Political Monitor Poll published for the Sydney Morning Herald.

The Labor government has a six point lead over the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis.

It means Mr Albanese will likely retain power in either majority or minority government.

In two-party terms, Labor has suffered a slight decline from two weeks ago. 

Labor has a 53 per cent support lead down from 53.5 per cent while the Coalition sits behind at 47 per cent. 

Despite the strong lead, voters appear to feel more confidence in Mr Dutton and the Coalition when it comes to the economy compared to Mr Albanese. 

Voters also rate the Opposition more highly on national security, crime and migration. 

‘The vote has stabilised with a Labor lead,’ said Resolve director Jim Reed.

‘And with many people voting early and locking in their choice, there’s a dwindling likelihood of things changing before Saturday.’

The latest poll has revealed Labor’s primary vote is weaker than it was in the last election.

It’s down from 32.6 per cent to 31 per cent nationally and Mr Albanese faces a difficult battle state-by-state.  

Labor’s primary vote in Victoria has fallen from 33 per cent to 29 per cent since the last election. 

However, in NSW, Labor’s primary vote has risen slightly from 33 per cent at the last election to 34 per cent.

Meanwhile, the Coalition has suffered a decrease in its primary vote from 35.7 per cent to 35 per cent since the last election. It’s important to note the difference is within the margin of error. 

When it comes to US President Donald Trump, voters are divided over the best way to vote. 

The Coalition comes out on top in regards to who voters think is best to manage the American president, with 30 per cent siding with Mr Dutton compared to Labor’s 25 per cent.

However, the survey also confirmed that voters are less likely to vote for Mr Dutton due to concerns over Trump and his policies.

Mr Dutton’s approval rating has continued to fall in the last two weeks while Mr Albanese’s has remained unchanged.

When asked whether Mr Albanese was doing a good job, 45 per cent of voters agreed while 44 per cent said he was doing a poor job.

In contrast, 33 per cent said Mr Dutton was doing a good job and 57 per cent said he was doing a poor job. This is a negative net rating of minus 24 points, which is greater than minus 18 two weeks ago.

Minor parties have seen their support rise while support for independent candidates has fallen since the last survey conducted two weeks ago.

The Greens have seen a one percentage point rise to 14 per cent and Pauline Hanson’s One Nation has also risen by one to seven per cent. 

Support for independent candidates on a national scale has fallen but it is stronger in NSW, Victoria and Queensland compared to the last election. 

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