Wed. Nov 6th, 2024
alert-–-australia’s-population-is-set-to-skyrocket-in-the-next-decade-–-here-are-the-cities-where-the-numbers-will-soar-the-mostAlert – Australia’s population is set to skyrocket in the next decade – here are the cities where the numbers will soar the most

‘s population is tipped to swell by four million people during the coming decade – even as overseas immigration slows down.

That would be the equivalent of the nation adding the combined population of Brisbane, Adelaide and Darwin by 2033. 

‘s two biggest states are now expected to house 2.5million more people within the next 10 years – or almost the current population of Brisbane.

The federal government’s Centre for Population has released new forecasts for the next decade, which can be accessed via an interactive chart.

‘s overall population was expected to climb by 4.25million people, or 16 per cent, to 30.887million, up from 26.637million at the end of June.

That would be occurring even as net overseas immigration slowed down from recent record highs and the government tightened the rules for international students.

's population is tipped to swell by four million people during the coming decade - even as overseas immigration slows down (pictured is Sydney's Town Hall train station)

‘s population is tipped to swell by four million people during the coming decade – even as overseas immigration slows down (pictured is Sydney’s Town Hall train station)

Victoria was tipped to see its population rise by 20 per cent or 1.389million people during the coming decade to 8.204million, putting extra pressure on Melbourne.

‘s population growth

2004: 20 million

2013: 23 million

2016: 24 million

2018: 25 million

2023: 26.7million

2033: 30.9million 

New South Wales was tipped to see its population swell by 13.5 per cent to 8.347million as 1.124million new residents moved in – which would make Sydney even more unaffordable.

That influx would see 2.5million new people move into ‘s two most populated states within a decade.

Queensland, the biggest beneficiary of interstate migration, was expected to see its population swelling by 875,100 or 16 per cent to 6.33million.

A record 518,100 overseas migrants, on a net basis, moved to during the last financial  year.

Treasury’s Mid-Year Economic had 1.625million migrants moving to in the five years to June 2027.

This was much higher than the 1.495million over five years predicted in the May Budget.

The annual intake for 2023-24 was expected to slow to 375,000 but drop to the pre-pandemic level of 250,000 in 2024-25. 

Acting Treasurer Katy Gallagher released a population statement on Friday promising a slow pace of immigration.

‘Net overseas migration is expected to decline back to around pre-pandemic levels over the next couple of years and population growth is forecast to decline over the medium term, as our population continues to age,’ she said.

‘s population took 14 years to go from 20million to 25million, between 2004 and 2018. 

The national population is likely to have taken a decade to grow from 23million in 2013 to 27million in 2024.

The federal government's Centre for Population has released new forecasts for the next decade, which can be accessed via an interactive chart. 's overall population was expected to climb by 4.26million people or 16 per cent to 30.887million, from 26.627million now (pictured is Melbourne on New Year's Eve in 2022)

The federal government’s Centre for Population has released new forecasts for the next decade, which can be accessed via an interactive chart. ‘s overall population was expected to climb by 4.26million people or 16 per cent to 30.887million, from 26.627million now (pictured is Melbourne on New Year’s Eve in 2022)

So the Centre for Population’s projections about adding another four million residents by 2033 is consistent with the past decade, which included the pandemic border closure in 2020 and 2021. 

Treasury’s Intergenerational Report, released in August, predicted ‘s population would reach 40.5million by mid-2063. 

But its inaugural Intergenerational Report released in 2002 predicted ‘s population would reach 25million by 2042 – a milestone that was reached in 2018 or 24 years earlier than forecast. 

n population tipped to soar

NSW: From 8,346,500 to 9,470,700 – or 1,124,200 people

VICTORIA: From 6,814,500 to 8,203,600 – or 1,389,100 people

QUEENSLAND: From 5,454,800 to 6,329,900 – or 875,100 people

WESTERN : From 2,875,500 to 3,357,000 – or 481,500 people

SOUTH : From 1,852,100 to 2,047,500 – or 195,400 people

TASMANIA: From 573,800 to 632,800 – or 59,000 people

NORTHERN TERRITORY: 252,900 to 285,900 – or 33,000 people

N CAPITAL TERRITORY: 467,200 to 560,000 – or 92,800 people

: 26,637,300 to 30,887,400 – or 4,250,100 people

Source: Centre for Population projections comparing 2023 with 2033

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