Anthony Albanese has won the 2025 federal election with a massive swing toward Labor across the country and Peter Dutton losing his own seat.
Daily Mail ‘s political editor Peter van Onselen called the election for Albanese at 7.40pm on Saturday as Labor surged ahead of the Coalition both with the party vote and number of seats won.
ABC’s election guru Antony Green called the election for Albanese 45 minutes later at 8.25pm.
Green was followed by Nine and news.com.au.
‘There is no way the Coalition can win this election even with just these early numbers,’ PVO said at 7.40pm.
‘Certainly not with a majority of their own, but even in minority.
‘While it is too early to rule in or out the Coalition taking away Labor’s majority, one way or the other Anthony Albanese has won this election.
‘Even if pre-poll votes see sizeable swings back to the Coalition it won’t be enough to overturn an informed prediction that Labor has won this election.’
At 8.30pm Dutton’s own seat of Dickson showed a 10 per cent swing to Labor challenger Ali France with 25 per cent of the vote counted.
France’s lead increased to almost 14 per cent by 8.45pm.
‘In a stunning result Peter Dutton looks like losing his seat of Dickson,’ PVO said.
‘I’m loath to call this seat against Dutton because he has fought back and won it many times before.
‘But it looks extremely bad for him and a comeback would be Stephen Bradbury-like from here. As pre-polls are starting to slowly come in.
‘No opposition leader has lost their seat at an election since the arrival of the two party system.
‘John Howard – Peter Dutton’s mentor – lost his seat of Bennelong at the 2007 election, but that was as PM.
‘The results coming in tonight suggest Dutton would have lost the leadership after tonight anyway, but he now appears to be out of parliament entirely.
‘The Liberals are going to have to start the search for a new leader.’