Alert – Presidential polls live updates: Betting markets give big indicator on the favorite to win between Trump and Harris

Donald Trump has opened up his largest lead over Kamala Harris in the betting markets since Joe Biden dropped out.

The former president has seen a spike in momentum on the campaign after a slew of polls showed him closing the gap with the Democrat.

Now Trump has a 10-point lead in the Real Clear Politics betting average and platforms like Polymarket show him with almost a double-digit lead.

On Kalshi, a prediction site, Trump had a 54 percent chance of winning with Harris at 46 percent as of Monday early afternoon.

Pols still show the race is a coin-flip, but the Republicans saw the best numbers over the weekend.

DailyMail.com's Pennsylvania poll released Sunday morning showed Harris and Trump locked at 47 percent support each in the state that will likely decide the election.

Three other polls from ABC, CBS and NBC showed the vice president’s lead over Trump has slimmed in the last month.

The move in the needle has sparked calls from Democrats to not panic about the polls.

David Plouffe, a former senior advisor to Barack Obama and a Kamala Harris campaign aide, said on the Pod Save America podcast that the race has been essentially tied since September.

In July, Trump had a 48-point lead in the Real Clear Politics betting average.

But that disappeared when President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and he was replaced by Harris.

Former President Bill Clinton on Monday blamed improper vetting at the southern border for the death of a college student who was allegedly killed by an illegal migrant.

Laken Riley, a 22-year-old American female college student, was brutally murdered earlier this year while she was jogging at the University of Georgia in Athens.

But the kicker is that the migrant was vetted and released into the country by the Biden-Harris administration.

The former president falsely indicated that Trump was to blame for the death of Riley, whose murder has become a symbol of ongoing southern border mayhem.

‘You got a case in Georgia not very long ago, didn’t you? They made an ad about it, a young woman who had been killed by an immigrant?’ he said while campaigning in Georgia for Kamala Harris.

The illegal immigrant accused of murdering Riley, Jose Ibarra, entered the United States from Venezuela illegally in September 2022.

He was arrested for the murder of Laken Riley earlier this year on February 22.

Trump is set to take the stage at New York City’s Madison Square Garden on October 27.

He is doing a major blue state push ahead of the election in just over three weeks in an unusual campaign strategy.

‘The location of his rallies matters less in this nationalized media environment. His messaging is making it to all the major media markets regardless of what he does. And the bigger the rally, the more attention it will get, right? I mean, Madison Square Garden? You guys have to cover it,’ said a senior Trump adviser.

Ticket sales started Monday for the event.

The Kennedy clan put their bitter infighting to one side Monday to mark the passing of matriarch Ethel at a private funeral on Cape Cod.

Robert Kennedy Jr.’s cozy relationship with Donald Trump and his phone sex affair with a journalist were forgotten for a few hours as Ethel was laid to rest.

Family members banded together to accompany Ethel’s coffin, adorned with a huge bouquet of white roses, into the Our Lady of Victory Catholic church in Centerville, Massachusetts.

The Trump campaign is mocking Bill Clinton for saying the murder of Laken Riley in would ‘not have happened’ if the migrant suspect had been ‘vetted properly’ while campaigning for Kamala Harris.

The former president was in Georgia discussing the Republican tanking of the bipartisan border bill, which would have ramped up resources on the southern border.

Riley, a 22-year-old nursing student, was killed when she was jogging at the University of Georgia in Athens on February 22, 2024.

The suspect, 26-year-old José Antonio Ibarra, entered the U.S. illegally from Venezuela and is now facing 10 charges including felony murder, kidnapping and rape.

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent

Monday brings a potentially decisive shift in the DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners election model: For the first time it has shifted to ‘lean Trump’ after weeks of indicating that the ballot is a ‘toss up.’

It is the result of a raft of new polling data suggesting Kamala Harris ‘ national lead has shrunk or evaporated altogether.

And multiple swing states now show that the former president has a narrow lead in most of the battlegrounds that will decide who wins the next election.

When those numbers are fed into our exclusive prediction model, it shows that Trump would claim the overall win in 62.4 percent of our simulations.

At the end of last week he was on 59.8 percent.

A bombshell new report is accusing Vice President Kamala Harris of plagiarism in her book Smart on Crime published in 2009.

Self-proclaimed ‘plagiarism hunter’ Stefan Weber allegedly found over a dozen instances of plagiarism in Harris’ book.

That includes several portions directly lifted from news reports, government press releases and even Wikipedia, according to the analysis.

According to a side-by-side comparison, Harris lifted significant portions of the copy in her book from Wikipedia without properly citing the online encyclopedia as her source.

She also cites DOJ’s Bureau of Justice Assistance, an Urban Institute report and others nearly word-for-word.

Fox News announced Monday that chief political anchor Bret Baier will conduct an interview with Vice President Kamala Harris on Wednesday, October 16th.

Her appearance will take place in Pennsylvania, and marks Harris’ first sit-down interview on the network.

The interview with Wednesday evening on Special Report with Bret Baier.

Former President Donald Trump’s campaign revisited old video clips of Kamala Harris supporting the idea of changing Columbus Day to Indigenous Peoples’ Day.

McDonald’s workers in Georgia appeared highly confused when former President Bill Clinton surprised them with a stop while campaigning for Kamala Harris.

The Kamala Wins account posted an awkward 39-second clip where the former president approached several workers at the check out counter.

At least one cashier at the fast food chain thought the 78-year-old former president was sitting commander-in-chief Joe Biden, 81, in the now-viral video.

The Las Vegas Review-Journal, one of the biggest newspapers in the battleground state of Nevada, has endorsed Donald Trump for president.

The editorial board called Kamala Harris a ‘vapid’ and ‘unpopular’ in a brutal piece criticizing her for avoiding the press.

A progressive once named the most liberal member of the U.S. Senate and who favored abolishing the filibuster, packing the Supreme Court and limiting political speech now shape-shifts into a defender of ‘democracy’ and the nation’s institutions.

A key component in an administration that openly sought to put fossil fuel providers out of business now claims to be a proponent of fracking.

A candidate who cast the tie-breaking vote for the spending package that lit the fuse to rampant inflation, devastating American families, now claims to represent the interests of the middle class.

A politician who says she would have done nothing differently over the past four years wants voters to believe she is an agent for “change.”

To advance the swindle, Ms. Harris carefully avoids any unscripted interviews unless a friendly questioner tosses the softballs slowly enough for her to make contact.

The Review-Journal laid out some of the pitfalls with the Republican nominee and admitted: ‘We are under no illusions about Donald Trump’.

The piece pointed out his response to January 6 and his insistence that every election is ‘rigged’.

Many voters are dissatisfied with the choice before them in November. They have a point. But when we weigh the policy results of Mr. Trump’s four years in office against those of Ms. Harris and Mr. Biden, the contrast becomes difficult to ignore. Donald Trump is the better choice.

The full interview with Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff on MSNBC aired this morning.

Host Joe Scarborough was roasted online by users who said he only asked ‘softball’ questions and stayed away from stirring up controversy.

Last week, Emhoff was asked whether the allegations about his personal life ‘p***ed’ him off.

The Morning Joe host didn’t question him over the details or ask whether DailyMail.com reports about his past were true.

Scarborough even reduced them to being ‘tabloid’ stories being pushed by Donald Trump and Republican critics.

DailyMail.com reported in August that Emhoff, Kamala Harris’s husband, cheated on his first wife Kerstin and got the family’s nanny pregnant.

Earlier this month a story emerged that Emhoff ‘slapped’ an ex-girlfriend at the Cannes Film Festival in 2012. He also faced allegations he was a ‘misogynist’ to colleagues at the Los Angeles law firm he ran.

But Emhoff avoided the chance to slap them down and instead brushed them off while he insisting he was focused on his wife’s presidential campaign.

Most economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal say inflation would be higher under Donald Trump’s economic plans than it would under those of Kamala Harris.

They also suggested interest rates and deficits would be higher under Trump, according to the newspaper’s quarterly survey of economists.

In the survey of 50 economists 68 percent said prices would go up faster under Trump, while 12 percent said inflation would be higher under Harris, with the rest seeing no difference.

Donald Trump has demanded Kamala Harris take a cognitive test after the vice president dared him to release his health records.

The Republican nominee, 78, suggested her ‘word salad’ answers could lead ‘many to believe that there could be something very wrong with her’.

‘Even 60 Minutes and CBS, in order to protect Lyin’ Kamala, illegally and unscrupulously replaced an answer she had given, which was totally “bonkers,” with another answer that had nothing to do with the question asked,’ Trump added in his Truth Social post.

‘Also, she is slow and lethargic in answering even the easiest of questions.

‘We just went through almost four years of that, we shouldn’t have to do it again!’

The White House released Harris’ health assessment from her physician on Saturday which stated she was more than ready to be commander-in-chief.

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Kamala Harris is facing the ire of TIME’s owner after she refused to sit for an interview with the renowned news magazine.

The vice president has refused to sit for an interview with several legacy media outlets since taking over Joe Biden ‘s campaign leading the Democratic 2024 presidential ticket and has faced a slew of criticism for her sparse media strategy.

Time owner Marc Benioff wrote of his disappointment on X, claiming those with the magazine have reached out several times for an interview with the presidential nominee.

‘Despite multiple requests, TIME has not been granted an interview with Kamala Harris—unlike every other Presidential candidate,’ he posted on Sunday.

‘We believe in transparency and publish each interview in full,’ he added in the post. ‘Why isn’t the Vice President engaging with the public on the same level?’

Betting platform Kalshi has updated its betting odds for the 2024 presidential election.

The site that bills itself as the ‘only legal prediction market in the US’ gives Donald Trump a 53 percent chance of winning with Kamala Harris at 47 percent.

The 2024 presidential election could be one of the closest in history.

Polls show former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck during one of the most unprecedented campaigns in recent memory.

The race has been dominated by assassination attempts, two drama-filled debates and President Joe Biden making the monumental decision to forgo a chance at a second term by dropping out of the race.

Every day there are dramatic twists and turns that are shaping the biggest conversation in the nation: Who will be the next president?

As the United States races toward Election Day on November 5, DailyMail.com is launching its first politics newsletter to keep you up to date with the most important developments.

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Donald Trump vowed to bolster the beleaguered Border Patrol with thousands of new agents should he be elected to rectify what he calls the Biden-Harris importation of migrants.

The agency has recently faced employee retainment and recruitment issues, in addition to low morale as many field agents have been assigned processing duty amid the historic wave of 10 million or so migrants encountered in the last 3.5 years.

The ex-president’s policy proposal came during a rally before thousands Sunday in Findlay Toyota Center in Prescott Valley, Arizona — an hour and a half north of Phoenix up through winding passes bisecting red pillar-like mountains.

Donald Trump vowed to bolster the beleaguered Border Patrol with thousands of new agents should he be elected to rectify what he calls the Biden-Harris importation of migrants.

The agency has recently faced employee retainment and recruitment issues, in addition to low morale as many field agents have been assigned processing duty amid the historic wave of 10 million or so migrants encountered in the last 3.5 years.

The ex-president’s policy proposal came during a rally before thousands Sunday in Findlay Toyota Center in Prescott Valley, Arizona — an hour and a half north of Phoenix up through winding passes bisecting red pillar-like mountains.

Eager border state attendants cheered enthusiastically when Trump brought up the Border Patrol and his past success working with them: ‘You know what I did, I called them up and said ‘close the border,’’ he recalled before crediting himself for low migration numbers.

Then he promised if he wins on Election Day: ‘The migrant invasion ends and the restoration of our country begins.’

To do that, Trump said he wanted to hire scores of new Border Patrol agents.

Democrat presidential candidate Kamala Harris has unveiled plans to legalize recreational marijuana and create ‘forgivable’ business loans for black entrepreneurs in a bid to win the black vote.

Harris’ presidential campaign has been under pressure to win more votes from black men in particular, with polls revealing she is in a lower standing by the voting bloc than Joe Biden when he ran in 2020.

While 85 percent of black men said they would vote for Biden in 2020, 75 percent said they would vote for the current vice president.

Her new plans, unveiled today, include providing forgivable business loans for black entrepreneurs, creating more apprenticeships and studying sickle cell and other diseases that disproportionately affect African American men.

Harris already has said she supports legalizing marijuana and her plan calls for working to ensure that black men have opportunities to participate as a ‘national cannabis industry takes shape.’

She also is calling for better regulating cryptocurrency to protect black men and others who invest in digital assets.

If it was not already clear then our latest poll from the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania lays out in the starkest possible terms how the presidential election will come right down to the wire.

It shows that Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump are locked in a dead heat.

If the election were held tomorrow each would win 47 percent of the vote in a state that holds the keys to the White House, according to our latest DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners poll.

The state is likely to provide the tipping point in the election. Its 19 electoral college votes could take one candidate or the other past the threshold for victory on Nov. 5.

Of all the seven big battlegrounds, this is the most consequential.

In a presidential election that will be decided by the slimmest of margins, every decision counts.

But has Kamala Harris made a mistake with her choice of running mate?

A new DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners poll shows that she is tied with Donald Trump in the likely tipping point state of Pennsylvania.

Yet she would be ahead if she had added its governor, Josh Shapiro, to her ticket instead of Tim Walz from Minnesota.

When likely voters were asked who they would back, 47 percent said Harris/Shapiro, one point more than said they would vote for Donald Trump and J.D. Vance.

For the first time ahead of an election since the era of Ronald Reagan there are more registered Republicans than Democrats going into an election.

The statistics are a big boost for Donald Trump and Republicans trying to retake the Senate.

In 2020 Democrats had an eight-point advantage in numbers of registered voters.

In 2016, when Trump won anyway, Democrats had a three-point advantage.

This time Republicans are one point ahead.

It was the first time they have held such an advantage since 1984 – when Reagan won in a landslide.