Thu. Oct 24th, 2024
alert-–-six-polls-show-the-tide-turning-for-trump-with-a-bump-in-pennsylvania-and-an-issue-pivotal-for-votersAlert – Six polls show the tide turning for Trump with a bump in Pennsylvania and an issue pivotal for voters

A series of new polls suggest the race for the White House is turning in favor of former President Donald Trump and against Vice President Kamala Harris with less than two weeks to go until Election Day. 

Trump is campaigning in Nevada while Harris heads to Georgia for a rally alongside former President Obama on Thursday before both presidential candidates make stops in Texas on Friday. 

It comes as more than 29 million people have already cast ballots either in-person early or by mail in the 2024 election.  

But a new Wall Street Journal poll released on Thursday shows the Republican presidential nominee with a three point edge nationally over the vice president.

The poll has Trump 47 percent and Harris at 45 percent among registered voters. That’s a reversal of the polling by the Wall Street Journal in August. 

Donald Trump on October 23

Kamala Harris on October 24

A series of recent polls have shown good news for former President Donald Trump and warning signs for Vice President Kamala Harris with Election Day less than two weeks away

In the CNBC All-America Economic Survey, Trump also leads by 48 percent to 46 percent. 

In the seven battleground states likely to decide the election, the CNBC poll shows Trump taking a lead 48 percent to Harris’ 47 percent among voters.

In that poll, economic issues remain the biggest concern for voters. When it comes to prioritizing inflation, the economy and the needs of the middle class, Trump has a strong advantage.

The poll found 42 percent of voters said they would be better off financially if Trump wins compared to just 24 percent who said the same if Harris wins. Another 29 percent said their financial situation will not change no matter who wins the White House.

National poll among registered voters

National poll among registered voters

That’s similar to the final monthly poll from the Financial Times and University of Michigan Ross School of Business which found the ex-president leads 44 percent to 43 percent among registered voters on the economy.

It was the first time Trump has led on the economy in that particular poll. 

Turning to two new polls out of the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania, which has the most electoral votes of any swing state with 19, Trump has also taken a lead in the final sprint.

The Franklin and Marshall College poll in Pennsylvania shows Trump ahead of Harris by 50 percent to 49 percent among likely voters, but among all registered voters, the vice president still has an edge 48 percent to 44 percent.

That poll shows Trump with a six point lead when it comes to handling of the economy and the military. But Harris has an advantage when it comes to understanding the concerns of ordinary Americans and is considered more trustworthy. 

National and battleground state poll among voters

National and battleground state poll among voters

A separate Emerson College poll also out of the Keystone State shows Trump with a one point lead among voters, signaling just how tight the race truly is in Pennsylvania.

The poll has the ex-president at 49 percent and the vice president at 48 percent. Another three percent of voters had another choice or were undecided. 

‘There is a significant age divide among voters: voters under 50 favor Harris, 57 percent to 39 percent, while voters over 50 break for Trump, 57 percent to 41 percent,’ said executive director Spencer Kimball.

Poll of likely Keystone State voters

Poll of likely Keystone State voters 

Meanwhile, a new Marist poll shows the Republican presidential nominee picking up steam in the Sunbelt battleground states among likely voters.

Trump has a two point lead in North Carolina, a one point lead in Arizona and is tied with Harris in Georgia. 

In North Carolina, Harris holds a twelve point lead among those who have already cast ballots early, but Trump is up overall including among Independents who are breaking for the ex-president 53 percent to 42 percent according to the poll.

In Arizona, Harris has a 10 point lead among Independent likely voters as well as those who have already cast their ballots, but overall Trump holds the edge with an 11 point lead among those who have yet to vote.

While the Marist poll shows the race in Georgia tied among likely voters, Harris leads by 15 points among Independents likely to cast ballots which is greater than the nine point advantage President Biden carried among Independents in the 2020 election against Trump. 

Vice President Kamala Harris headed to Atlanta for a rally with former President Obama on October 24, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris headed to Atlanta for a rally with former President Obama on October 24, 2024

Donald Trump speaking at a Turning Point Action rally in Duluth, GA on October 23

Donald Trump speaking at a Turning Point Action rally in Duluth, GA on October 23

But Trump holds more than double the support of Harris among white likely voters in the state at 67 percent to 32 percent. 

At the same time, Harris leads among black likely voters at 82 percent to Trump’s 15 percent, but her edge is slightly smaller than Biden’s lead among black voters in 2020 when he won the state by just over 11,000 votes.

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